Drake Maye has helped the Patriots find their rhythm, orchestrating an offense that repeatedly put Las Vegas in difficult situations. The club also received positive injury news ahead of the matchup, activating wide receiver A.J. Brown from injured reserve, giving him a chance to return against the Jets.
The Jets will counter with Geno Smith, who has found success in recent trips to Gillette Stadium, including two straight wins there.
Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 18, at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The game will be broadcast on CBS, with play-by-play by Spero Dedes, analysis by Adam Archuleta, and sideline reporting from Aditi Kinkhabwala. Fans in eligible local markets can stream the game on Paramount+, while out-of-market Sunday afternoon games are available through NFL Sunday Ticket on YouTube and YouTube TV. NFL+ also provides live local games on supported devices. Radio coverage airs on 98.5 The Sports Hub, with Bob Socci on play-by-play and Scott Zolak providing analysis.
New England will be without cornerbacks Carlton Davis III and Karon Prunty, while Christian Gonzalez has no game designation after returning to full practice participation. Brown, offensive tackle Will Campbell, and running back TreVeyon Henderson were listed as questionable on the final injury report. The Jets ruled out running back Breece Hall, receiver Adonai Mitchell, and two additional players.
In terms of odds, FanDuel’s Week 6 numbers posted the following: spread Patriots -7.5, Jets +7.5; moneyline Patriots -360, Jets +290; total 43.5, with the over at -108 and the under at -112. Other market indicators showed a strong lean toward New England, with matchup markets suggesting roughly a 75% to 76% probability of a Patriots win.
The Patriots enter with the clearer path to victory, helped by Maye’s efficient ball movement and Brown providing a high-level target for key plays. The Jets can challenge by applying pressure and maintaining disciplined quarterback play. If Smith remains interception-free, New York could keep the game tighter. Hall’s absence could hinder the Jets’ ground game, potentially allowing New England to control pace and field position, especially if the defense compels Smith into passing downs.
Prediction: Patriots win, 24-13. Pick: Patriots -7.5; lean Under 43.5.