Key questions shaping Hill’s free-agent decision are health and cost. Hill endured a knee dislocation with ACL and other ligament damage in Week 4 last season, with return timelines commonly ranging from nine months to a year. At nearly 32, age could affect both his rehabilitation and on-field ceiling. Hill’s prior contract extensions included a $120 million, four-year deal signed in 2022, later restructured to push guarantees to $106.5 million, though guarantees are largely depleted this offseason.
KC also faces considerations tied to quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ health timeline. If Mahomes, who suffered an ACL/LCL injury in Week 15, can return close to Week 1, the Chiefs’ offense could be optimized by pairing him again with Hill and tight end Travis Kelce, depending on Kelce’s own plans for the future. Any decision will weigh Hill’s health status, anticipated cost, and the team’s ability to maximize a high-powered offense around a healthy Mahomes.
Other potential suitors, per Kalshi’s market, include the Denver Broncos, who held a leading probability, with the Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Giants showing smaller—but notable—interest. The evolving market underscores the heightened attention around Hill’s next destination as teams assess how his production, age, and injury history fit their plans for 2026 and beyond.