Payton, a former 2-star recruit from Omaha, Nebraska, spent four years behind other QBs before starting for the Bisons in 2025. He posted 2,719 passing yards at 72% efficiency and rushed for 777 yards, showcasing elite release speed, distribution, and rushing ability. His performance has fed speculation that he could jump into early-round discussions in 2026.
Industry chatter, including remarks from NFL evaluator sources and coverage by Jason La Canfora, highlights Payton’s decision-making, mechanics, and above-average arm strength. While some concerns persist about ball security and processing, evaluators believe Payton has the tools to grow into a competent NFL starter after a year of development behind professional-caliber players.
The push for Payton comes as the NFL scouting landscape searches for quarterback depth beyond Mendoza, with discussions suggesting Payton could become the No. 2 QB in the 2026 class. One executive noted that Payton “can play” and could close the gap with Mendoza within a couple of years, reflecting growing optimism about Payton’s ceiling.
Alabama’s Ty Simpson, who declared for the NFL Draft after a 2025 season in which he threw for 3,567 yards, now faces a changing dynamic. Prior to Payton’s rise, Simpson was viewed by some analysts as a top QB prospect, but Payton’s progression and FCS pedigree have the potential to alter the early-round outlook for Simpson and other signal-callers.
NFL teams weighing Payton’s candidacy include the New York Jets, who hold picks 2nd and 16th overall. Jets officials have emphasized a preference for mobility and disciplined decision-making at the position, aligning with Payton’s profile. Payton’s first-round potential would mark a historical milestone for an FCS quarterback from North Dakota State.
North Dakota State continues its ascent, with Payton’s emergence following the program’s recent NFL draft history and a transition to the Mountain West Conference in 2026. If Payton earns a first-round selection, it would further affirm NDSU’s track record of producing NFL-caliber QBs and enhance Payton’s standing as a transformative talent entering the league.
