Early MVP odds place Mahomes seventh among candidates for the 2026 season, trailing several quarterbacks in his conference and behind reigning MVP Matthew Stafford. Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Drake Maye sit at the top of the list, with Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert in the next tier ahead of Mahomes.
Experts acknowledge the difficulty of returning from a multiligament knee injury, a path that has sidelined players for many months and often affected athleticism beyond the immediate rehab. While the recovery timeline varies, the current betting market reflects doubt about a quick return to peak performance.
Mahomes has publicly maintained optimism about his rehab, stating in January that he aims to be ready for Week 1 if doctors clear him. He has described steady progress in strength, range of motion, and mobility, crediting the Chiefs’ medical and training staff for a structured, goal-driven rehabilitation.
The quarterback’s recovery update comes alongside continued attention on his potential impact once back on the field. Chiefs fans and NFL observers will be watching closely as Mahomes progresses through OTAs and training camp, evaluating whether he can regain his elite playmaking before the season begins.
This report draws on reporting from SI.com and Heavy Sports, reflecting early industry sentiment and Mahomes’ stated rehab trajectory. The situation remains dynamic as medical evaluations and rehab milestones influence both forecasts and team expectations for the 2026 season.
