The spread has shown remarkable stalemate, sitting at Seahawks -4.5 since Jan. 26 after an initial wobble to -5. Seattle opened at -4.5 and briefly touched -5 before stabilizing. One-way traffic remains on Seattle, according to Caesars head of football trading Joey Feazel, who expects little movement between now and Sunday.
On the moneyline, Seattle has drawn more action than New England, a rarity for the Super Bowl. While Patriots backers could pivot to the +190 moneyline in pursuit of an upset, the public has yet to heavily lean that way, and Feazel cautions that sentiment may shift this weekend.
Projections and tickets are increasingly dominated by prop bets, which can outweigh the game-outcome handle. Popular props include a potential safety (Yes +1000, No -2000) and other odds that reward specific game events, making it crucial for sportsbooks to hedge across dozens of props in addition to the main market.
Sharp bettors are weighing in beyond the game itself. For example, pro Randy McKay placed a first-half Seahawks -2.5 (-120) bet, linking that stance to Drake Maye’s likely first-half interception and a potential early Seahawks surge, illustrating how prop correlations can influence side bets.
The game total has seen notable activity as well. Caesars opened the total at 46.5, but has trended toward 45.5 with Over -115, drawing sharper action on Under 46.5 and Under 46. Feazel notes that two strong defenses and two quarterbacks still developing their peak form have driven the sharp side to favor lower scoring, while public money is expected to push the Over as kickoff approaches.
As kickoff nears, the betting market is balancing multiple forces: a stubborn Seattle spread, a potentially trendier Patriots moneyline, a flood of prop bets, and a public tilt toward higher-scoring outcomes. Sportsbooks aim to manage risk across all markets while bettors seek value in the final hours before Super Bowl 60.
