According to The Athletic’s Dan Duggan and Ian O’Connor, Manning will have to wait at least another year for induction after not making the cut despite remaining one of the 15 modern-era finalists for a second consecutive cycle.
Manning’s candidacy is inherently complex. He is one of six players to win multiple Super Bowl MVPs, a distinction shared only with a handful of legends whose first-ballot status is not guaranteed for everyone with similar credentials. Among those with multiple Super Bowl MVPs, several all-time greats were inducted on the first ballot, while others—like Manning—face longer waits in discussions about peak-level impact.
Statistically, Manning’s career numbers have shifted over time. He ranks 11th in NFL history in both career passing yards and career passing touchdowns, a position he held as he retired (seventh in both categories) but has slipped since then. These rankings contribute to the debate over whether his body of work meets the standard often associated with Hall of Fame quarterbacks.
Manning’s resume features two Super Bowl titles, a compelling credential that supports eventual induction. However, critics point to a relatively modest regular-season profile—including a .500 career winning percentage (117-117-1) and only four Pro Bowls over a 16-year career—as factors that complicate his candidacy.
Despite the scrutiny, Manning is widely viewed as a future Hall of Fame inductee based on his championships and his family legacy in the sport. The timing remains uncertain, but the combination of Super Bowl MVPs and his enduring name in the game bodes well for Canton down the line.