Bills at Broncos: The Broncos are favored by 1.5 points as the no.1 seed coming off a bye, but there are a lot of questions about their QB. The Bills have sometimes looked mediocre, yet Josh Allen showed up in a playoff mood, often called “Playoff Josh.” I’m taking Buffalo to win and cover +1.5. 🏔️💥
The over/under sits at 46.5. I like the over here because Buffalo and company can score when needed, and they only need about 23 to help push the total over. If Buffalo lose 25-23, you’d lose the Bills bet but win the over, so the math still tilts toward the over. 🧮🏈
Texans at Patriots: The Texans are +3 underdogs but I think they’ll win outright. Houston has the league’s top defense and CJ Stroud gives them a real edge, while the Patriots’ offense isn’t feared. The under 41.5 is appealing since neither QB has been lighting it up, and a couple of defensive scores could swing things. 🧱🔒
Bottom line: the author feels confident in the AFC picks and notes the Bears as the only NFC miss. For more, check out the broader NFL coverage, including the divisional-round angles on The Big Lead. 🔮🏈
